Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.912163 3.473145 4.082945 4.791400 5.588093 6.452654 7.458033
2026-01-04 2.288409 3.063817 3.976798 5.115875 6.483206 8.056114 9.985897
2026-01-11 1.825004 2.727761 3.872175 5.392662 7.321289 9.647639 12.624701
2026-01-18 1.398504 2.340520 3.626033 5.439602 7.859455 10.903997 14.944725
2026-01-25 1.023089 1.933091 3.273881 5.281853 8.094498 11.774881 16.823861
2026-02-01 0.756468 1.618335 2.988443 5.159921 8.340018 12.649268 18.733863
2026-02-08 0.560469 1.363633 2.741336 5.046842 8.565711 13.487395 20.616874
2026-02-15 0.422919 1.171850 2.555544 4.992074 8.853285 14.407806 22.635723
2026-02-22 0.356320 1.099547 2.556909 5.226301 9.578067 15.969872 25.593539
2026-03-01 0.276908 0.972996 2.436145 5.238072 9.950853 17.030852 27.878243
2026-03-08 0.188772 0.788911 2.167776 4.956866 9.826815 17.339324 29.084168
2026-03-15 0.130006 0.651819 1.962190 4.755200 9.804413 17.783636 30.486298
2026-03-22 0.110921 0.627303 1.999205 5.018615 10.591837 19.525291 33.898181
2026-03-29 0.099397 0.623599 2.083349 5.381133 11.570628 21.604638 37.883332
2026-04-05 0.086337 0.607981 2.136238 5.685276 12.463042 23.579433 41.768797
2026-04-12 0.065992 0.550045 2.072719 5.744277 12.921285 24.875780 44.657683
2026-04-19 0.044027 0.464166 1.915441 5.585931 12.971533 25.508569 46.539436
2026-04-26 0.029018 0.394749 1.783411 5.462315 13.071015 26.217423 48.550811
2026-05-03 0.018545 0.335577 1.663119 5.346401 13.170600 26.920963 50.562506
2026-05-10 0.011939 0.290969 1.574350 5.290470 13.377704 27.807516 52.882259
2026-05-17 0.009781 0.283641 1.609309 5.535823 14.189553 29.751747 56.942333
2026-05-24 0.006390 0.253003 1.553082 5.548583 14.534881 30.898358 59.737413
2026-05-31 0.002797 0.198532 1.385960 5.255175 14.235642 30.904258 60.669338